Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
55.62% ( 0.44) | 22.65% ( -0.09) | 21.72% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% ( 0) | 44.03% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% ( 0) | 66.42% ( -0.01) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( 0.15) | 15.69% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.26% ( 0.28) | 44.74% ( -0.28) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% ( -0.32) | 34.23% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% ( -0.34) | 70.93% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |