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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 22, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Girona logo

Villarreal
1 - 0
Girona

Parejo (90+10' pen.)
Moreno (18'), Pino (25'), Torres (37'), Baena (45+1'), Moreno (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bueno (3'), Gutierrez (32'), Stuani (39'), Juanpe (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 19 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-0 Girona

Villarreal were involved in an energy-zapping contest with Real Madrid on Thursday, but Girona will be fresh for this match. The visitors are also unbeaten in the league since October 20, but we are expecting Villarreal to secure all three points on Sunday, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawGirona
55.62% (0.436 0.44) 22.65% (-0.093 -0.09) 21.72% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (0.149 0.15)15.69% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (0.28 0.28)44.74% (-0.282 -0.28)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)34.23% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.343 -0.34)70.93% (0.339 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 55.62%
    Girona 21.72%
    Draw 22.65%
VillarrealDrawGirona
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 55.62%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 21.72%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Girona

Villarreal
82.5%
Draw
9.3%
Girona
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 8pm
Fourth Round
Girona
0-1
Villarreal

Bustos (39'), Franquesa (90+2')
Pino (19')
Trigueros (17'), Coquelin (51'), Baena (73'), Raba (90+1')
Jan 22, 2020 8pm
Round of 32
Girona
0-3
Villarreal

Olivan (54'), Gumbau (89')
Funes Mori (54'), Cazorla (70'), Chukwueze (72')
Pena (53'), Quintilla (67')
Apr 14, 2019 5.30pm
Girona
0-1
Villarreal

Juanpe (74'), Pons (79')
Chukwueze (7')
Fornals (51'), Chukwueze (76'), Gaspar (87'), Caseres (90'), Funes Mori (90')
Aug 31, 2018 9pm
Villarreal
0-1
Girona

Trigueros (75'), Gaspar (85'), Sansone (89')
Stuani (54')
Alcala (23'), Benitez (56')
Mar 3, 2018 12pm
Villarreal
0-2
Girona

Raba (2'), Costa (34'), Bonera (39'), Gaspar (61')
Stuani (16'), Lozano (80')
Granell (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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