La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
1 - 0
Valencia

Garcia (63')
Stuani (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guillamon (61'), Cavani (66'), Gaya (66'), Ozkacar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, January 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Valencia
Thursday, February 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia have actually won four of their last five La Liga matches against Girona, including a 1-0 success in the reverse game earlier this season, but we are finding it difficult to back Los Che due to their away struggles this term. Girona have drawn six times in the league this term, and we are backing another stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Girona	Draw	Valencia
35.4% ( 0.05)	27.68% ( 0.33)	36.92% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 48.76% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

-1.27)

57.05% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

-1.03)

77.94% (

1.03)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

-0.6)

30.64% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

-0.72)

66.89% (

0.72)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

-0.85)

29.7% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

-1.05)

65.76% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Girona 35.4%

Valencia 36.91%

Draw 27.67%

Girona	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.4%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.91%