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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Valencia logo

Almeria
2 - 1
Valencia

Melero (49'), Babic (58')
Chumi (20'), Suarez Charris (23'), Robertone (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castillejo (61')
Foulquier (7'), Perez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Valencia

 Valencia have the third-worst away record in the league this season, so we are finding it tough to back them to secure all three points. Almeria's impressive home form this term makes them the favourites, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawValencia
39.19% (-0.196 -0.2) 27.15% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 33.66% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)55.18% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)76.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.127 -0.13)27.47% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.166 -0.17)62.96% (0.166 0.17)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.10000000000001 0.1)30.83% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.117 0.12)67.11% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 39.19%
    Valencia 33.66%
    Draw 27.14%
AlmeriaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Almeria vs Valencia

Almeria
35.8%
Draw
35.8%
Valencia
28.4%
67
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2023 8pm
Valencia
2-2
Almeria
Kluivert (48'), Gaya (65')
Cavani (45'), Almeida (83')
Chumi (54'), Portillo (74')
Melero (80')
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
Almeria
2-3
Valencia
Partey (9'), Soriano (37')
Manuel Casado (68'), Silva (75')
Otamendi (28'), Feghouli (45'), Paco (80')
Barragan (34'), Parejo (69'), Feghouli (75'), Gaya (86'), Fuego (92')
Parejo (89')
> Match Report
Jan 17, 2015 5pm
Valencia
3-2
Almeria
Parejo (11'), Rodrigo (28'), Negredo (83')
Orban (57'), De Paul (86')
Hemed (13', 33')
Partey (40'), Dubarbier (81')
Mar 27, 2014 9pm
Almeria
2-2
Valencia
Diaz (53', 56')
Corona (9'), Parreu (25'), Trujillo (38'), Diaz (56'), Antonio Verza (86')
Keita (2'), Vargas (34')
Fuego (64'), Pereira (90')
> Match Report
Oct 30, 2013 7pm
Valencia
1-2
Almeria
Jonas (33')
Torsiglieri (61'), Vidal (70')
Dubarbier (20'), Barbosa (28'), Pellerano (35'), Nelson (83'), Suso (85')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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