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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Rayo Vallecano logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Kluivert (82' pen.)
Correia (27'), Kluivert (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Comesana (9')
Valentin (23'), Balliu (81'), Catena (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Valencia have picked up important wins in their last two La Liga matches on home soil, while Rayo have struggled for victories in recent weeks. The visitors have drawn nine league games this term, though, including four of their last six, and we can see another stalemate in Monday's contest at Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawRayo Vallecano
43.99% (-1.124 -1.12) 26.61% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08) 29.4% (1.208 1.21)
Both teams to score 50.25% (0.947 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.883 0.88)54.36% (-0.88 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.731 0.73)75.74% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)24.55% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96% (-0.226 -0.23)59.04% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (1.393 1.39)33.4% (-1.391 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (1.499 1.5)70.02% (-1.497 -1.5)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.99%
    Rayo Vallecano 29.4%
    Draw 26.6%
ValenciaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.251 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.183 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.4%

How you voted: Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano

Valencia
59.1%
Draw
23.6%
Rayo Vallecano
17.3%
110
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Valencia
Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Balliu (21')
Diakhaby (90+3')
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 24, 2018 3.15pm
Valencia
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mina (35', 61'), Gameiro (76')
Diakhaby (28'), Soler (74')

Advincula (22'), Comesana (41'), Galvez (51')
Advincula (87')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
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4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
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Group E

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4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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