Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.13% ( 0.05) | 26.81% ( -0.02) | 42.06% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.52% ( 0.1) | 54.48% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.16% ( 0.08) | 75.84% ( -0.09) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.8% ( 0.09) | 32.2% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.31% ( 0.1) | 68.68% ( -0.11) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% ( 0.02) | 25.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.53% ( 0.03) | 60.47% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.13% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |