La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Aspas (51', 85'), Ciss (52' og.)
Beltran (11'), Oscar (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Comesana (23'), Balliu (45+1'), Lejeune (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

This is a really difficult match to call, especially as three of the last four league meetings between the two sides have finished level. Both teams will be confident of picking up the win, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
45.24% ( -0.08)	26.83% ( 0.01)	27.93% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.13% (

0.01)

55.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.02% (

0.01)

76.98% (

-0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

-0.03)

24.61% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89% (

-0.05)

59.11% (

0.05)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

0.06)

35.33% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

0.06)

72.09% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 45.24%

Rayo Vallecano 27.93%

Draw 26.82%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.93%