La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Valladolid1 - 3Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
These two teams have not shared the points at the home of Real Valladolid since February 2013, but we are backing a stalemate on Friday night. Athletic's recent form has been disappointing, so it is difficult to back them to win, and Real Valladolid certainly have enough about them to claim a share of the spoils in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
32.69% ( 0.25) | 28.68% ( 0.15) | 38.63% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
