Valladolid

1 - 3

Athletic Bilbao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.