La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

May 4, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
2 - 1
Mallorca

Espinosa (45+2'), Castellanos (84')
Espinosa (14'), Hernandez (76'), Castellanos (78'), Couto (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Muriqi (80' pen.)
Aguirre (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Girona and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, May 1 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona are very strong at home and Mallorca have been poor on the road, so the hosts look likeliest to keep their own respective European push going. It has never been a fixture blessed with many goals, as the last 11 meetings have all seen two goals or fewer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Mallorca
50.74% ( -0.07)	25.82% ( -0.07)	23.44% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.85% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

0.37)

55.15% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

0.3)

76.39% (

-0.3)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22% (

0.12)

21.78% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03% (

0.18)

54.97% (

-0.19)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.17% (

0.34)

38.83% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44% (

0.32)

75.56% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Girona 50.73%

Mallorca 23.44%

Draw 25.81%

Girona	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.73%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.44%