Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
55.03% ( -0.05) | 23.83% ( 0) | 21.13% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% ( 0.05) | 49.76% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.23% ( 0.04) | 71.76% ( -0.05) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0) | 17.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( 0) | 48.78% ( -0) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% ( 0.08) | 38.05% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% ( 0.08) | 74.81% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |