La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Valladolid0 - 3Sevilla
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, May 4 at 9pm in La Liga
Thursday, May 4 at 9pm in La Liga
We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Sevilla
There is no question that Sevilla will be thinking about the second leg of their Europa League semi-final, which should hand Real Valladolid an advantage. The home side's recent form is a concern, though, and we are therefore struggling to back them to win, instead settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
36.3% ( -0.05) | 27.75% ( 0.08) | 35.95% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
