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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Valladolid logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valladolid

de Tomas (48'), Camello (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Leon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 2-5 Atletico
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Valladolid

 Vallecano have little to play for between now and the rest of the season, but they will be determined to bounce back from their humiliation at the hands of La Liga's worst performing team by a distance last time out. As such, we can envisage an entertaining affair playing out between these two sides, with the visitors likely to accept avoiding defeat as they attempt to put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Valladolid
58.27% (-0.177 -0.18) 22.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 19.37% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.287 -0.29)45.85% (0.283 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.272 -0.27)68.16% (0.27 0.27)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)15.43% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.73% (-0.291 -0.29)44.26% (0.289 0.29)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)37.64% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)74.41% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 58.26%
    Real Valladolid 19.37%
    Draw 22.35%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 58.26%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 19.37%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valladolid

Rayo Vallecano
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
Real Valladolid
6.3%
64
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 1pm
gameweek 17
Valladolid
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Monchu (32'), Guardiola (45+3'), Guardiola (49')
Isi (65')
Camello (75'), Isi (80')
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Valladolid
Medran (73')
Moreno (69'), Pozo (76')
Unal (6' pen.), Guardiola (80')
Kiko (77'), Calero (86')
Jan 5, 2019 12pm
gameweek 18
Valladolid
0-1
Rayo Vallecano
Medran (1')
Embarba (56'), Trejo (59'), Bebe (65')
Mar 4, 2018 5pm
Valladolid
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Mata (48' pen.)
Anuar (33'), Borja (38'), Moyano (57'), Mata (72'), Calero (76')
De Tomas (55' pen.)
Velazquez (48'), Baiano (90')
Velazquez (70')
Oct 8, 2017 3pm
Rayo Vallecano
4-1
Valladolid
Embarba (8', 85'), Trejo (16'), De Tomas (41' pen.)
Trejo (24')
Plano (52')
Plano (34'), Salvador (37'), Villalibre (61'), Angel (65'), Michel (68')
Luismi (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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