Vallecano have little to play for between now and the rest of the season, but they will be determined to bounce back from their humiliation at the hands of La Liga's worst performing team by a distance last time out.
As such, we can envisage an entertaining affair playing out between these two sides, with the visitors likely to accept avoiding defeat as they attempt to put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
-0.18) 
0.09) 
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