La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano2 - 1Valladolid
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Valladolid 2-5 Atletico
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Valladolid
Vallecano have little to play for between now and the rest of the season, but they will be determined to bounce back from their humiliation at the hands of La Liga's worst performing team by a distance last time out. As such, we can envisage an entertaining affair playing out between these two sides, with the visitors likely to accept avoiding defeat as they attempt to put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Valladolid |
58.27% ( -0.18) | 22.36% ( 0.09) | 19.37% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( -0.29) | 45.85% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( -0.27) | 68.16% ( 0.27) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( -0.16) | 15.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.73% ( -0.29) | 44.26% ( 0.29) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -0.08) | 37.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.58% ( -0.08) | 74.41% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano 58.26%
Real Valladolid 19.37%
Draw 22.35%
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.26% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.37% |
How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano
68.8%Draw
25.0%Real Valladolid
6.3%64
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 1pm
Jan 5, 2019 12pm
Form Guide
