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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Valladolid logo

Valencia
2 - 1
Valladolid

Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Larin (6')
Perez (55'), Masip (57'), Hongla (66'), Fernandez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-2 Valencia
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 0-0 Real Valladolid

Given that Real Valladolid have the third-worst offensive record in La Liga – and Valencia have the best defensive record in the bottom half – we expect the relegation rivals to play out a cagey stalemate at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
59.73% (-0.148 -0.15) 22.29% (0.004999999999999 0) 17.98% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (0.197 0.2)47.63% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (0.182 0.18)69.83% (-0.18700000000001 -0.19)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.49% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.279 0.28)40.23% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.255 0.25)76.86% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 59.72%
    Real Valladolid 17.98%
    Draw 22.29%
ValenciaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 59.72%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.98%

How you voted: Valencia vs Valladolid

Valencia
60.0%
Draw
23.1%
Real Valladolid
16.9%
65
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 1pm
gameweek 19
Valladolid
1-0
Valencia
Larin (90')
Sanchez (45+2'), Aguado (56'), Mesa (69')

Almeida (13')
May 9, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Valencia
3-0
Valladolid
Gomez (45+1', 48'), Correia (89')
Jan 10, 2021 8pm
gameweek 18
Valladolid
0-1
Valencia

Bruno (23'), Orellana (86')
Soler (76')
Soler (58'), Diakhaby (82'), Correia (90+5')
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 8pm
gameweek 18
Valladolid
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Vallejo (94')
Soler (34'), Coquelin (81'), Parejo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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