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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Real Valladolid logo

Villarreal
1 - 2
Valladolid

Capoue (74')
Pedraza (30')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Amallah (2'), El Yamiq (34')
Amallah (41'), Monchu (56'), Masip (69'), Mesa (87'), Perez (90+1'), Kenedy (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Real Valladolid

Valladolid can ill-afford to drop more points if they wish to avoid being dragged into the relegation zone, but considering the strong run of form that Villarreal possess, we expect the hosts to secure a routine victory on Saturday to boost their top-four hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Valladolid
65.86% (0.142 0.14) 19.65% (-0.07 -0.07) 14.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (0.164 0.16)42.54% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (0.161 0.16)64.94% (-0.16 -0.16)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)12.07% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (0.184 0.18)37.6% (-0.184 -0.18)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36%41.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88%78.12%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 65.85%
    Real Valladolid 14.48%
    Draw 19.65%
VillarrealDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 11.23%
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 65.85%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.48%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valladolid

Villarreal
89.6%
Draw
2.1%
Real Valladolid
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 6pm
May 13, 2021 6pm
Valladolid
0-2
Villarreal

El Yamiq (30'), Kiko (76'), Guardiola (88')
Moreno (68'), Capoue (90+1')
Capoue (88')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valladolid
Chukwueze (21'), Torres (37')
Gaspar (90+1')

Fernandez (34'), Alcaraz (52'), Garcia Carnero (71')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-1
Villarreal
Alcaraz (15')
Moyano (58'), Toni (58'), Garcia (78')
Moreno (54')
Albiol (41'), Iborra (60'), Pena (70')
Sep 21, 2019 12pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valladolid
Cazorla (77' pen.), Ontiveros (89')
Quintilla (40'), Iborra (45')

Barba (60')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
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5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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