La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
0 - 3
Villarreal

Vidal (39'), Torro (47'), Brasanac (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chukwueze (14'), Luis Morales (85', 90+3')
Pino (57'), Luis Morales (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Anderlecht
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Villarreal

Osasuna will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into the contest, which should hand them an advantage. Arrasate's side have actually only drawn once at home in the league this season, but we just have a feeling that the points are going to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Villarreal
31.65% ( 0.07)	25.86% ( 0.03)	42.49% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

-0.11)

50.45% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

-0.1)

72.38% (

0.1)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

-0.01)

29.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13% (

-0.01)

65.87% (

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-0.1)

23.58% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35% (

-0.15)

57.64% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 31.65%

Villarreal 42.48%

Draw 25.86%

Osasuna	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.65%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.48%