La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
2 - 3
Osasuna

Gudelj (63'), En-Nesyri (78')
Sampaoli (13'), Gueye (43'), Acuna (79'), Ocampos (88'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Fernando (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garcia (18'), Fernando (67' og.), Ezzalzouli (85')
Oroz (12'), Barja (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Sevilla
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, but Sevilla have been much-improved in the league in recent weeks, winning their last four top-flight fixtures at home. Osasuna have been the draw specialists away from home this term, though, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Osasuna
57.85% ( -0.14)	23.64% ( 0.05)	18.5% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.35% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.71% (

-0.08)

52.29% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01% (

-0.07)

73.99% (

0.06)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

-0.08)

17.85% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39% (

-0.13)

48.61% (

0.13)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.64% (

0.06)

42.36% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.25% (

0.05)

78.75% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 57.85%

Osasuna 18.5%

Draw 23.64%

Sevilla	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.85%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.5%