Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Valencia |
26.22% ( -0.09) | 25.49% ( -0.03) | 48.28% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.22% ( 0.05) | 51.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% ( 0.04) | 73.54% ( -0.04) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% ( -0.05) | 34.52% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.76% ( -0.05) | 71.23% ( 0.05) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.54% ( 0.07) | 21.46% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.52% ( 0.11) | 54.48% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.22% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |