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La Liga
Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Valencia logo

Elche
0 - 2
Valencia


Nwankwo (47'), Roco (62'), Clerc (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lino (19'), Gonzalo (42' og.)
Musah (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 2-0 Elche
Sunday, April 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-1 Valencia

 Elche have been the worst side in La Liga this season, so Valencia will be expecting to claim all three points here. Los Che might have to suffer and endure some difficult moments, but we are backing the away side to secure what would be a vital win at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawValencia
26.22% (-0.087 -0.09) 25.49% (-0.029 -0.03) 48.28% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)51.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.041999999999998 0.04)73.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)34.52% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.23% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.067000000000007 0.07)21.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (0.107 0.11)54.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Elche 26.22%
    Valencia 48.27%
    Draw 25.49%
ElcheDrawValencia
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.22%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 11.39%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.27%

How you voted: Elche vs Valencia

Elche
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Valencia
83.3%
36
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 9
Valencia
2-2
Elche
Cavani (41' pen., 45+7')
Mamardashvili (26')
Milla (29' pen., 65')
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 29
Elche
0-1
Valencia

Barragan (8'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Fidel (90+3')
Mojica (90+2')
Guedes (50')
Foulquier (27'), Diakhaby (39'), Gil (65')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Valencia
2-1
Elche
Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Valencia
1-0
Elche
Wass (22')
Wass (70')

Gonzalo (3'), Barragan (33'), Morente (42'), Marcone (48'), Gonzalez (65'), Cifu (74'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Elche
2-1
Valencia
Josan (19'), Fidel (37')
Guti (77'), Fidel (86'), Barragan (90+3')
Lato (74')
Paulista (45'), Lato (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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