La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 26, 2023 at 9pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Barcelona

Garcia (19'), Garcia (53')
Dimitrievski (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewandowski (83')
Balde (32'), Alba (34'), Gavi (35'), Raphinha (61')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona

There has been little to separate the two teams in recent meetings, with Rayo Vallecano coming away as the happier side in each of the last three encounters, and they will be confident of causing another upset on Wednesday in front of their home supporters. However, with champions-elect Barca keen to get the job done at the summit, we expect Xavi's men to edge a closely-fought contest in the Spanish capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Barcelona
17.31% ( 0.1)	22.23% ( -0.18)	60.46% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

0.88)

48.42% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

0.8)

70.56% (

-0.79)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49% (

0.65)

41.51% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22% (

0.57)

78.01% (

-0.56)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

0.33)

15.58% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.46% (

0.61)

44.54% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 17.31%

Barcelona 60.45%

Draw 22.23%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.31%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 11.17% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 60.45%