Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
51.86% ( -0.09) | 26.11% ( 0.02) | 22.03% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.57% ( -0) | 57.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.76% ( -0) | 78.24% ( 0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( -0.04) | 22.24% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -0.06) | 55.68% ( 0.06) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.5% ( 0.07) | 41.5% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22% ( 0.06) | 78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |