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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Rayo Vallecano logo

Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Sorloth (59'), Lejeune (81' og.)
Munoz (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Isi (57')
Valentin (69'), Comesana (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad are in desperate need of the points in their battle to secure a top-four finish, and we are backing the Basque outfit to return to winning ways here. Rayo are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday but might ultimately fall just short against Alguacil's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRayo Vallecano
51.86% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 26.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.03% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 45.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.43% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)22.24% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.061 -0.06)55.68% (0.064 0.06)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.5% (0.067 0.07)41.5% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (0.059999999999999 0.06)78% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 51.85%
    Rayo Vallecano 22.03%
    Draw 26.11%
Real SociedadDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.03%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad
87.0%
Draw
13.0%
Rayo Vallecano
0.0%
46
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 1pm
May 1, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 34
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Real Sociedad
Falcao (77')
Lopez (56'), Valentin (73')
Sorloth (33')
Zubeldia (38')
Aug 22, 2021 4pm
gameweek 2
Real Sociedad
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Oyarzabal (68' pen.)
Isak (86'), Pacheco Dozagarat (90'), Le Normand (90+5')

Trejo (26'), Comesana (55'), Balliu (66'), Garcia (90+1'), Iraola (90+2')
Jan 20, 2019 5.30pm
gameweek 20
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Real Sociedad
Comesana (22'), Embarba (28')
Velazquez (76'), Dimitrievski (88')
Moreno (39'), Jose (82')
Llorente (87')
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
gameweek 6
Real Sociedad
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Bautista (5'), Jose (78')
Zubeldia (15'), Moreno (77'), Merino (81'), Zaldua (89')
Advincula (31'), Trejo (36' pen.)
Advincula (61'), Kakuta (62'), Trejo (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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