Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Roma

(Roma win 2-0 on aggregate)

Zubeldia (13'), Rico (39'), Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (90+8')

Karsdorp (6'), Mancini (17'), Smalling (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Sociedad and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 12 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 12 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Roma (Roma win 3-2 on aggregate)

Even if La Real can shake off the shackles of their goalscoring struggles to bring themselves back into the tie, Roma pose enough danger at the other end to score at least once too. The Giallorossi's strikers may be misfiring, but Paulo Dybala is a class apart at this level - and their proficiency from set-pieces could also see them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Roma
41.74% ( 0.2)	27.77% ( -0.05)	30.49% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.73% (

0.12)

58.27% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.1% (

0.09)

78.9% (

-0.1)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

0.16)

27.51% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.98% (

0.21)

63.02% (

-0.22)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

-0.05)

34.64% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

-0.05)

71.36% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 41.73%

Roma 30.49%

Draw 27.76%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.49%