We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Roma (Roma win 3-2 on aggregate)
Even if La Real can shake off the shackles of their goalscoring struggles to bring themselves back into the tie, Roma pose enough danger at the other end to score at least once too. The Giallorossi's strikers may be misfiring, but Paulo Dybala is a class apart at this level - and their proficiency from set-pieces could also see them over the line.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.