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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Juventus logo

Roma
1 - 0
Juventus

Mancini (53')
Matic (33'), Cristante (57'), Spinazzola (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Locatelli (31'), Kostic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Juventus

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 0-1 Juventus

 Juventus are one of two teams, along with leaders Napoil, to have conceded the fewest goals in the second half of Serie A matches this season (eight), while Roma have only conceded nine, so both sides know how to shut up shop. It is sure to be a close-fought affair in the capital, but more misery for Mourinho could be in store, as Juve are masters of nicking a lead and doggedly preserving their advantage until the last whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawJuventus
41.63% (-0.143 -0.14) 27.85% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 30.52% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)58.56% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.038 -0.04)79.13% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)27.71% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.132 -0.13)63.28% (0.13 0.13)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.51% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 41.62%
    Juventus 30.52%
    Draw 27.85%
RomaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Roma vs Juventus

Roma
19.7%
Draw
20.2%
Juventus
60.1%
183
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
Feb 6, 2021 5pm
Juventus
2-0
Roma
Ronaldo (13'), Ibanez (69' og.)
Arthur (37'), Ronaldo (62')

Mancini (35'), Kumbulla (54')
Sep 27, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
2-2
Juventus
Veretout (31' pen., 45+1')
Kumbulla (36'), Pellegrini (54')
Ronaldo (44' pen., 69')
Rabiot (30'), Frabotta (86')
Rabiot (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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