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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Juventus logo

Roma
1 - 0
Juventus

Mancini (53')
Matic (33'), Cristante (57'), Spinazzola (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Locatelli (31'), Kostic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 0-1 Juventus

Juventus are one of two teams, along with leaders Napoil, to have conceded the fewest goals in the second half of Serie A matches this season (eight), while Roma have only conceded nine, so both sides know how to shut up shop. It is sure to be a close-fought affair in the capital, but more misery for Mourinho could be in store, as Juve are masters of nicking a lead and doggedly preserving their advantage until the last whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawJuventus
41.63% (-0.143 -0.14) 27.85% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 30.52% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)58.56% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.038 -0.04)79.13% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)27.71% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.132 -0.13)63.28% (0.13 0.13)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.51% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 41.62%
    Juventus 30.52%
    Draw 27.85%
RomaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Roma vs Juventus

Roma
Draw
Juventus
Roma
19.7%
Draw
20.2%
Juventus
60.1%
183
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
Feb 6, 2021 5pm
Juventus
2-0
Roma
Ronaldo (13'), Ibanez (69' og.)
Arthur (37'), Ronaldo (62')

Mancini (35'), Kumbulla (54')
Sep 27, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
2-2
Juventus
Veretout (31' pen., 45+1')
Kumbulla (36'), Pellegrini (54')
Ronaldo (44' pen., 69')
Rabiot (30'), Frabotta (86')
Rabiot (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29197365273864
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta29177563283558
4Bologna291411449341553
5Juventus291313345281752
6Lazio2915685041951
7Roma29147844301449
8Fiorentina29146946301648
9AC Milan29138844331147
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2968152844-1626
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515


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