Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.