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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Red Bull Salzburg

Roma
2 - 0
Salzburg

Belotti (33'), Dybala (40')
Ibanez (4'), Pellegrini (5'), Spinazzola (54'), Zalewski (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Roma
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Roma 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Mourinho's men will most likely have to make do without Abraham and Dybala, leaving them short of the much-needed firepower up top in a game where goals are required to advance. That should be music to the ears of the visiting Austrian side, who seldom fail to find the back of the net, a run that should continue in Rome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
47.06% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 24.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)47.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.45% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)20.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)52.4% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21%66.79%
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.06%
    Red Bull Salzburg 28.22%
    Draw 24.72%
RomaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Roma vs Salzburg

Roma
57.9%
Draw
12.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
29.4%
235
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Salzburg
1-0
Roma
Capaldo (88')
Pavlovic (84'), Koita (86'), Gluh (90+4')

Ibanez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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