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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Solbakken (45')
Mourinho (34'), Smalling (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hien (28'), Ngonge (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Roma
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Salernitana
Monday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Hellas Verona

Surely a close-fought tussle is on the cards in Rome, as neither side gives much way at the back these days - and they rarely score more than once themselves. As Roma may be distracted by European commitments, and their star man appears to be unavailable, Verona can nick a point at the Olimpico and boost their survival hopes still further. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
66.99% (-0.637 -0.64) 19.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 13.38% (0.55 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.37% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.872 0.87)44.91% (-0.871 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.832 0.83)67.26% (-0.831 -0.83)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (0.079000000000008 0.08)12.46% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.58% (0.164 0.16)38.42% (-0.163 -0.16)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.26% (1.408 1.41)44.74% (-1.407 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (1.113 1.11)80.72% (-1.111 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Roma 66.98%
    Hellas Verona 13.38%
    Draw 19.63%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-0 @ 11.61% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.37% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.133 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 66.98%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.63%
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.163 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.38%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Hellas Verona
6.4%
94
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Roma
2-2
Hellas Verona
Volpato (65'), Bove (84')
Pellegrini (38'), Oliveira (39'), Karsdorp (69')
Mourinho (90+1')
Barak (5'), Tameze (20')
Casale (16'), Gunter (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')
Jan 31, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 19, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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