Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
2 - 0
Cremonese

Lazovic (9', 26')
Kallon (23'), Djuric (63'), Verdi (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Castagnetti (31'), Sernicola (54'), Lochoshvili (73'), Okereke (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hellas Verona 0-1 Cremonese

Buoyed by their impressive performance against Juve, Cremonese can finally end their drought by beating the only side sitting beneath them in the Serie A standings. The visitors will be able to catch Verona out at least once, and now have the discipline to get three points over the line at long last. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Cremonese
40.25% ( -0.04)	25.95% ( 0.01)	33.79% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.72% (

-0.04)

50.28% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.77% (

-0.03)

72.23% (

0.03)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

-0.04)

24.64% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

-0.05)

59.15% (

0.05)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

-0)

28.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

-0)

64.05% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 40.25%

Cremonese 33.79%

Draw 25.95%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.79%