Hellas Verona

2 - 0

Lecce

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.