Real Sociedad

3 - 0

Sheriff Tiraspol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.