MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:18:42| >> :600:388628:388628:
Roma logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Real Sociedad logo

Roma
2 - 0
Real Sociedad

El Shaarawy (13'), Kumbulla (87')
Matic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Illarramendi (68'), Zubeldia (71'), Gorosabel (80'), Zubimendi (85'), Oyarzabal (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Real Sociedad

Roma have won only two of their last 15 competitive games against Spanish sides - losing 10 times in the process - but Jose Mourinho has changed the culture of the club. The veteran coach has claimed victory in 14 of his 16 Europa League home matches and knows how to get the job done - with La Real's recent lack of goals also helping his cause. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawReal Sociedad
45.52% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 28.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 26.38% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)81.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)26.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)62.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.076000000000001 0.08)39.51% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (0.068999999999999 0.07)76.2% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 45.52%
    Real Sociedad 26.38%
    Draw 28.09%
RomaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.38%

How you voted: Roma vs Real Sociedad

Roma
81.5%
Draw
10.6%
Real Sociedad
7.9%
265
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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