Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match.