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La Liga
Real Valladolid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valladolid
2 - 5
Atletico

Larin (42' pen.), Escudero (74')
Monchu (9'), Perez (44')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Molina (20'), Gimenez (24'), Morata (38'), Fernandez (86' og.), Depay (90+3')
Hermoso (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 0-1 Atletico Madrid

 Real Valladolid will be looking over their shoulder again following their loss at Valencia, and Atletico are arguably the most difficult side to face in the league at the moment. Simeone's team will be missing some key players on Sunday but should have enough quality to edge out another victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
22.84% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 24.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 52.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.83% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (0.191 0.19)49.55% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (0.172 0.17)71.58% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.151 0.15)36.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (0.152 0.15)73.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (0.067999999999998 0.07)18.67% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99% (0.114 0.11)50.01% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 22.84%
    Atletico Madrid 52.91%
    Draw 24.23%
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.84%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.41% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 52.91%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Atletico

Real Valladolid
13.2%
Draw
5.5%
Atletico Madrid
81.3%
91
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 18
Atletico
3-0
Valladolid
Morata (18'), Griezmann (23'), Hermoso (28')
Mandava (36')

Perez (38')
May 22, 2021 5pm
gameweek 38
Valladolid
1-2
Atletico
Plano (18')
Maranhao (55'), El Yamiq (70'), Michel (74'), Fede (78')
Correa (57'), Suarez (67')
Felix (78'), Felipe (83'), Lodi (87')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Atletico
2-0
Valladolid
Lemar (56'), Llorente (72')
Savic (24'), Vitolo (40'), Suarez (49'), Herrera (85')

Sanchez Moreno (51'), Mesa (81')
Jun 20, 2020 9pm
gameweek 30
Atletico
1-0
Valladolid
Oct 6, 2019 3pm
gameweek 8
Valladolid
0-0
Atletico
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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