La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
We said: Elche 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Elche are heading back down to the Segunda Division for the 2023-24 campaign, and this will be a very difficult match against a Rayo side pushing towards the top six. We are actually expecting this to be a comfortable victory for the visitors, who were excellent against Barcelona last time out.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47% . A win for Elche had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.77%) . The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood .
Result Elche Draw Rayo Vallecano 26.8% ( 0.36) 26.19% ( 0.15) 47% ( -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.15)
45.89% ( -0.33) 54.11% ( 0.32)
24.47% ( -0.27) 75.53% ( 0.27)
64.7% ( 0.12) 35.29% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.94% ( 0.13) 72.05% ( -0.13)
76.99% ( -0.37) 23.01% ( 0.37)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.18% ( -0.54) 56.81% ( 0.54)
Elche 26.8%
Rayo Vallecano 47%
Draw 26.19%
Elche Draw Rayo Vallecano 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.8% 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.19% 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47%
How you voted: Elche vs Rayo Vallecano
40
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 14:14:00
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