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La Liga
Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Rayo Vallecano logo

Elche
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Morente (45+1'), Boye (52'), Fidel (53'), Gumbau (72')
Clerc (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iraola (37'), Garcia (45+4'), Saveljich (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-2 Rayo Vallecano

 Elche are heading back down to the Segunda Division for the 2023-24 campaign, and this will be a very difficult match against a Rayo side pushing towards the top six. We are actually expecting this to be a comfortable victory for the visitors, who were excellent against Barcelona last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawRayo Vallecano
26.8% (0.36 0.36) 26.19% (0.145 0.15) 47% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.326 -0.33)54.11% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.273 -0.27)75.53% (0.27 0.27)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7% (0.121 0.12)35.29% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.94% (0.128 0.13)72.05% (-0.131 -0.13)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.372 -0.37)23.01% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)56.81% (0.543 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Elche 26.8%
    Rayo Vallecano 47%
    Draw 26.19%
ElcheDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.8%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.77% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Elche vs Rayo Vallecano

Elche
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rayo Vallecano
60.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2022 8pm
gameweek 7
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Camello (40'), Lopez (90+5')
Boye (32')
Gonzalez (23')
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
gameweek 25
Elche
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Carrillo (76'), Ponce (84')
Guti (32'), Mojica (90+6')
Garcia (52')
Comesana (7'), Catena (68'), Sylla (72'), Balliu (75')
Oct 17, 2021 1pm
gameweek 9
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Hernandez (26'), Nteka (65')
Lopez (81'), Garcia (90+1')
Boye (14')
Gumbau (28'), Casilla (90+4')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Elche
Bebe (36'), Catena (78')
Isi (75')

Nino (39'), Lucumi (71')
Mar 8, 2020 11am
gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
2-3
Elche
Suarez (30' pen.), Montiel (88')
Advincula (45'), Milic (84'), Catena (90')
Isi (63')
Gil (58'), Milla (67'), Escriche (79')
Manolin (45'), Gil (73'), Fidel (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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