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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Gueye (6'), En-Nesyri (43'), Navas (63'), Telles (83'), Montiel (90+5')
Gueye (19'), Acuna (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Perez (13'), Cervi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Sevilla
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta have been a tough nut to crack in recent weeks, so we are finding it difficult to back them to lose this match. Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Cadiz, but they have been largely disappointing at home this term, so we have had to settle on a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
45.66% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 26.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 27.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.83% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (0.088999999999999 0.09)54.46% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.18% (0.072999999999997 0.07)75.82% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (0.057999999999993 0.06)23.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (0.085999999999999 0.09)57.94% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)34.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.035 0.04)71.33% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 45.66%
    Celta Vigo 27.89%
    Draw 26.44%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla
55.1%
Draw
28.2%
Celta Vigo
16.7%
78
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
Apr 12, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
3-4
Sevilla
Aspas (20' pen., 23'), Mendez (43')
Aspas (10'), Mallo (50'), Mendez (74')
Kounde (7'), Fernando (35'), Rakitic (60'), Papu (76')
Kounde (19'), Carlos (58')
Nov 21, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
4-2
Celta Vigo
Kounde (5'), En-Nesyri (45+3'), Escudero (85'), El Haddadi (87')
Navas (2'), Escudero (73')
Aspas (10'), Nolito (36')
Suarez (54'), Mallo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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