MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:45:48| >> :120:43313:43313:
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Sevilla logo

Fenerbahce
1 - 0
Sevilla

Valencia (41' pen.)
Aziz (45+1'), Yuksek (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bade (45+2'), Sampaoli (87'), Jordan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fenerbahce 1-1 Sevilla (Sevilla to win 3-1 on aggregate)

Given Sevilla's away form this campaign, progression to the next round is unlikely to be a formality. Nevertheless, we would be surprised if the visitors do not score in Turkey, with a competitive draw the most likely outcome in our eyes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawSevilla
52.54% (0.020999999999994 0.02) 23.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (0.032000000000004 0.03)42.97% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62% (0.032000000000004 0.03)65.38% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)16.38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)46% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 52.54%
    Sevilla 24.39%
    Draw 23.07%
FenerbahceDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 52.54%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.39%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Sevilla

Fenerbahce
56.9%
Draw
17.6%
Sevilla
25.5%
153
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Sevilla
2-0
Fenerbahce
Jordan (56'), Lamela (85')
Telles (3'), Gil (45+3')

Kadioglu (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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