Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Sukru Saracoglu Stadium
Fenerbahce2 - 0Larnaca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Fenerbahce
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Larnaca
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Fenerbahce 3-1 AEK Larnaca
Although Larnaca have won three of their last four games in all competitions, we think that they fall short against a Fenerbahce side who are aiming to clinch a sixth consecutive home victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
56.35% ( -0.27) | 24.93% ( 0.04) | 18.71% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
