La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
1 - 3
Celta Vigo

Gragera (86')
Darder (31'), Cabrera (44')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Veiga (26'), Aspas (45' pen.), Perez (82')
Galan (62'), Strand Larsen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Espanyol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Espanyol 2-2 Celta Vigo

Incredibly, six of the last eight La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are finding it difficult to separate them once again here. Espanyol have drawn a third of their home league games this season, and we are expecting the points to be shared once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Celta Vigo
32.6% ( 0.09)	27.63% ( 0.01)	39.77% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.81% (

-0)

57.19% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.95% (

-0)

78.05% (

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

0.06)

32.57% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

0.07)

69.1% (

-0.07)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

-0.06)

28.09% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

-0.08)

63.76% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 32.6%

Celta Vigo 39.77%

Draw 27.62%

Espanyol	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.77%