Espanyol

1 - 3

Celta Vigo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.