Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
39.74% ( -0.01) | 24.83% ( -0) | 35.43% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.01% ( 0) | 44.99% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.66% ( 0) | 67.34% ( -0) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( -0) | 22.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( -0) | 56.13% ( 0) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( 0) | 24.82% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% ( 0.01) | 59.41% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.74% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |