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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Villarreal logo

Sevilla
2 - 1
Villarreal

Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Lamela (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (55')
Foyth (70'), Mandi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sevilla 2-2 Villarreal

Sevilla put so much into their contest with Man United that it is only natural to expect a drop-off in terms of their performance in this match. Villarreal will be confident of picking up a positive result on Sunday, and we are backing the points to be shared in an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawVillarreal
39.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 39.74%
    Villarreal 35.43%
    Draw 24.82%
SevillaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.74%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.43%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Villarreal

Sevilla
53.1%
Draw
27.6%
Villarreal
19.4%
98
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Baena (51')
Torres (8')
Bono (26')
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Lo Celso (86')
Chukwueze (4'), Lo Celso (45'), Capoue (73')
Kounde (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
1-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-0
Sevilla
Bacca (34', 47', 79'), Moreno (66')

Carlos (29'), Acuna (51')
Carlos (52')
Dec 29, 2020 4pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
2-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (8' pen.), En-Nesyri (53')
Fernando (39')

Foyth (7'), Trigueros (76'), Parejo (88'), Bacca (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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