La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
2 - 1
Villarreal

Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Lamela (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Torres (55')
Foyth (70'), Mandi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Valladolid
Saturday, April 15 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sevilla 2-2 Villarreal

Sevilla put so much into their contest with Man United that it is only natural to expect a drop-off in terms of their performance in this match. Villarreal will be confident of picking up a positive result on Sunday, and we are backing the points to be shared in an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Villarreal
39.74% ( -0.01)	24.83% ( -0)	35.43% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.01% (

44.99% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

67.34% (

-0)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

-0)

22.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.87% (

-0)

56.13% (

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

24.82% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59% (

0.01)

59.41% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 39.74%

Villarreal 35.43%

Draw 24.82%

Sevilla	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.74%	1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.43%