La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
2 - 0
Valladolid

Bongonda (69', 76' pen.)
Lozano (73'), Bongonda (77'), Fede (86'), Mbaye (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Yamiq (33'), Rosa (47'), Mesa (67'), Sanchez (75')
Hongla (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-3 Sevilla
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Real Valladolid

Cadiz have one of the poorer home records in La Liga this season, but Real Valladolid have struggled on their travels. It is a huge game towards the bottom of the table, but the desire not to lose is likely to be stronger than the desire to win, so a tight match could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Real Valladolid
48.82% ( 0.31)	25.6% ( -0.08)	25.57% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.33% (

0.14)

52.67% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69% (

0.12)

74.31% (

-0.12)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

0.19)

21.59% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31% (

0.29)

54.68% (

-0.29)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

-0.12)

35.54% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

-0.12)

72.31% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 48.81%

Real Valladolid 25.57%

Draw 25.6%

Cadiz	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.81%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.57%