La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
We said: Cadiz 1-1 Real Valladolid
Cadiz have one of the poorer home records in La Liga this season, but Real Valladolid have struggled on their travels. It is a huge game towards the bottom of the table, but the desire not to lose is likely to be stronger than the desire to win, so a tight match could end with the spoils being shared.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 48.82% . A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.57% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.02%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.94%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
Result Cadiz Draw Real Valladolid 48.82% ( 0.31) 25.6% ( -0.08) 25.57% ( -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.03)
47.33% ( 0.14) 52.67% ( -0.14)
25.69% ( 0.12) 74.31% ( -0.12)
78.41% ( 0.19) 21.59% ( -0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.31% ( 0.29) 54.68% ( -0.29)
64.45% ( -0.12) 35.54% ( 0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.69% ( -0.12) 72.31% ( 0.12)
Cadiz 48.81%
Real Valladolid 25.57%
Draw 25.6%
Cadiz Draw Real Valladolid 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.81% 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.6% 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.57%
How you voted: Cadiz vs Valladolid
76
rhs 2.0
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