We said: Espanyol 1-1 Cadiz
This is a huge game for both sides at a vital stage of the campaign, but we are finding it very difficult to separate them. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that a tight match on Friday night will end with a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.