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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Cadiz logo

Atletico
5 - 1
Cadiz

Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')
Carrasco (21'), Lemar (36'), Molina (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lozano (72')
Diarra (16'), Alejo (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 2-5 Atletico
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Cadiz

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Cadiz

 Atletico may have lost their defensive nous a tad in recent weeks, but Simeone's side have more than made up for it in the final third and have been a winning machine in front of their own fans. While Cadiz have held their own on the road over the past couple of months, their raft of injury concerns and trio of fresh suspensions means that Wednesday's trip to the capital should not be a memorable one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 75.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (11.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
75.29% (1.768 1.77) 17.3% (-0.219 -0.22) 7.4% (-1.55 -1.55)
Both teams to score 34.42% (-5.805 -5.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (-3.99 -3.99)51.5% (3.991 3.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (-3.585 -3.59)73.3% (3.584 3.58)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.96% (-0.63199999999999 -0.63)12.04% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.48% (-1.354 -1.35)37.52% (1.355 1.36)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.13% (-6.274 -6.27)60.86% (6.274 6.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.91% (-3.4521 -3.45)91.08% (3.452 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 75.29%
    Cadiz 7.4%
    Draw 17.31%
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
2-0 @ 16.42% (1.75 1.75)
1-0 @ 15.51% (2 2)
3-0 @ 11.58% (0.96 0.96)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.729 -0.73)
4-0 @ 6.13% (0.369 0.37)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.674 -0.67)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.444 -0.44)
5-0 @ 2.6% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.518 -0.52)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.226 -0.23)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 75.29%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.48 -0.48)
0-0 @ 7.33% (1.1 1.1)
2-2 @ 2.02% (-0.664 -0.66)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.31%
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 1.91% (-0.564 -0.56)
0-2 @ 0.9% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 7.4%

How you voted: Atletico vs Cadiz

Atletico Madrid
84.3%
Draw
9.0%
Cadiz
6.7%
89
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 12
Cadiz
3-2
Atletico
Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Kondogbia (62')
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Club Friendlies
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
gameweek 28
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 15
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 21
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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