La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
2 - 1
Valencia

Escalante (39'), Guardiola (46')
Fede (60'), Sobrino (85'), Lozano (89'), Ledesma (90'), Hernandez (90+1'), Espino (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lino (51')
Castillejo (75'), Moriba (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 25 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

It is tough to back Valencia away from home, even against a Cadiz outfit that have struggled in front of their own fans. It would certainly not be a surprise to see an away or indeed a home victory on Sunday, but we just have a feeling that a cagey affair will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Valencia
28.85% ( 0.2)	27.92% ( 0.5)	43.23% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.6% (

-1.67)

59.39% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22% (

-1.31)

79.78% (

1.3)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.49% (

-0.75)

36.51% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.7% (

-0.76)

73.29% (

0.76)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-1.14)

27.24% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

-1.5)

62.67% (

1.5)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 28.85%

Valencia 43.22%

Draw 27.92%

Cadiz	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.87% Total : 28.85%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.86% Total : 43.22%