Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.