La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2023 at 9pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 2
Valencia

En-Nesyri (69')
Rakitic (14'), Gudelj (45'), Acuna (90+7')
Bade (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (88')
Diakhaby (10'), Ozkacar (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Two of the last three league meetings between these two sides have finished level, while Sevilla are unbeaten against Valencia in Spain's top light since March 2019. We came close to backing a draw here, but Sevilla should be winning this type of match at Estadio Ramon considering their quality, so a home success is being predicted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Valencia
38.77% ( 0.03)	27.95% ( -0)	33.29% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

0.02)

58.26% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11% (

0.01)

78.89% (

-0.01)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

0.03)

29.19% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

0.03)

65.13% (

-0.03)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35% (

-0.01)

32.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

-0.01)

69.19% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 38.76%

Valencia 33.28%

Draw 27.94%

Sevilla	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.28%