La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Valencia

Seferovic (60')
de la Torre (27'), Veiga (41'), Carvalhal (63'), Tapia (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Diakhaby (19'), Moriba (73'), Paulista (74'), Almeida (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, May 3 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Valencia

There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match, and a win for Valencia would boost their survival hopes while pulling Celta into the battle to avoid the drop. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away win here, but we just have a feeling that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Valencia
45% ( -0.04)	27.41% ( -0.05)	27.59% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 46.87% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.83% (

0.21)

58.17% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.18% (

0.17)

78.82% (

-0.17)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

0.08)

25.77% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.29% (

0.11)

60.71% (

-0.1)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.14% (

0.19)

36.86% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.36% (

0.19)

73.64% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 44.99%

Valencia 27.59%

Draw 27.41%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.99%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.59%