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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
Guillamon (16'), Lino (55'), Castillejo (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (52'), Veiga (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since September 2018, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Both managers will be slightly cautious considering their results last time out, and a tense affair at Mestalla could potentially finish 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
43.32% (-1.001 -1) 27.73% (0.514 0.51) 28.96% (0.489 0.49)
Both teams to score 46.79% (-1.171 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.34% (-1.626 -1.63)58.66% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79% (-1.282 -1.28)79.2% (1.282 1.28)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-1.261 -1.26)26.85% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (-1.689 -1.69)62.16% (1.69 1.69)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (-0.491 -0.49)36.02% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (-0.503 -0.5)72.8% (0.504 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.31%
    Celta Vigo 28.96%
    Draw 27.72%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.67% (0.581 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.468 0.47)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
66.2%
Draw
22.1%
Celta Vigo
11.8%
136
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
Feb 1, 2020 8pm
Valencia
1-0
Celta Vigo
Soler (77')
Paulista (20'), Wass (33'), Florenzi (50'), Gomez (80'), Coquelin (90'), Domenech (90')

Vazquez (40'), Rafinha (65'), Sisto (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia1826101728-1112
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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