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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
Guillamon (16'), Lino (55'), Castillejo (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (52'), Veiga (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since September 2018, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Both managers will be slightly cautious considering their results last time out, and a tense affair at Mestalla could potentially finish 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
43.32% (-1.001 -1) 27.73% (0.514 0.51) 28.96% (0.489 0.49)
Both teams to score 46.79% (-1.171 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.34% (-1.626 -1.63)58.66% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79% (-1.282 -1.28)79.2% (1.282 1.28)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-1.261 -1.26)26.85% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (-1.689 -1.69)62.16% (1.69 1.69)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (-0.491 -0.49)36.02% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (-0.503 -0.5)72.8% (0.504 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.31%
    Celta Vigo 28.96%
    Draw 27.72%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.67% (0.581 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.468 0.47)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
66.2%
Draw
22.1%
Celta Vigo
11.8%
136
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
Feb 1, 2020 8pm
Valencia
1-0
Celta Vigo
Soler (77')
Paulista (20'), Wass (33'), Florenzi (50'), Gomez (80'), Coquelin (90'), Domenech (90')

Vazquez (40'), Rafinha (65'), Sisto (89')
rhs 2.0
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Group Stage
Spain
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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