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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
Guillamon (16'), Lino (55'), Castillejo (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (52'), Veiga (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since September 2018, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Both managers will be slightly cautious considering their results last time out, and a tense affair at Mestalla could potentially finish 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
43.32% (-1.001 -1) 27.73% (0.514 0.51) 28.96% (0.489 0.49)
Both teams to score 46.79% (-1.171 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.34% (-1.626 -1.63)58.66% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79% (-1.282 -1.28)79.2% (1.282 1.28)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-1.261 -1.26)26.85% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (-1.689 -1.69)62.16% (1.69 1.69)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (-0.491 -0.49)36.02% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (-0.503 -0.5)72.8% (0.504 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.31%
    Celta Vigo 28.96%
    Draw 27.72%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.67% (0.581 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.468 0.47)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
66.2%
Draw
22.1%
Celta Vigo
11.8%
136
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
Feb 1, 2020 8pm
Valencia
1-0
Celta Vigo
Soler (77')
Paulista (20'), Wass (33'), Florenzi (50'), Gomez (80'), Coquelin (90'), Domenech (90')

Vazquez (40'), Rafinha (65'), Sisto (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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