La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2023 at 9pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Getafe
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

Unal (3' pen.)
Mitrovic (7'), Suarez (24'), Arambarri (39'), Dakonam (60'), Iglesias (70'), Alvarez (79'), Unal (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aidoo (21'), Galan (39'), de la Torre (62'), Seferovic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, April 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, April 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Getafe 1-2 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo were perhaps a little disjointed at the weekend given Carvalhal's raft of rotations, but the returns of big-hitters Aspas and Veiga should swing the pendulum in the visitors' favour. Getafe did little to suggest that an end-of-season revival could be on the cards against fellow relegation candidates Espanyol, and we can only envisage a refreshed Celta team taking all the spoils in a further blow to the hosts' survival hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Celta Vigo
34.57% ( 0.75)	28.14% ( 0.3)	37.29% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 47.31% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.17% (

-1.01)

58.83% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.66% (

-0.79)

79.34% (

0.8)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

-0.02)

32.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.45% (

-0.02)

68.55% (

0.03)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

-1.12)

30.36% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

-1.36)

66.54% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Getafe 34.57%

Celta Vigo 37.28%

Draw 28.13%

Getafe	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.57%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.28%