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La Liga
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Celta Vigo logo

Villarreal
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Capoue (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strand Larsen (29')
Seferovic (25'), Vazquez (45+1'), Nunez (49'), Tapia (54'), Carvalhal (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo

 This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, as Villarreal look to continue their push for the top four. There is no real pressure on Celta, which could work in the away team's favour on Sunday, but we are still expecting the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
56.19% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 22.37% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 21.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.83% (-0.32 -0.32)43.16% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.43% (-0.315 -0.31)65.56% (0.315 0.31)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)15.19% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.18% (-0.248 -0.25)43.82% (0.246 0.25)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)34.02% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (-0.2 -0.2)70.7% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 56.19%
    Celta Vigo 21.43%
    Draw 22.37%
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

Villarreal
85.7%
Draw
8.2%
Celta Vigo
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
gameweek 17
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Strand Larsen (68')
Moreno (15')
Trigueros (26'), Luis Morales (68')
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 28
Villarreal
1-0
Celta Vigo
Parejo (64')
Iborra (34')

Galan (90+4')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Mendez (72')
Mina (17')
Moreno (27')
Foyth (45')
May 9, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 35
Villarreal
2-4
Celta Vigo
Gomez (25'), Moreno (87' pen.)
Estupinan (5'), Asenjo (33'), Pino (89')
Rulli (45+4'), Gaspar (45+7')
Mina (19', 34'), Mendez (45+3' pen.), Solari (57')
Araujo (44'), Ferreyra (79')
Ferreyra (88')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2021 8pm
gameweek 18
Celta Vigo
0-4
Villarreal

Mendez (58')
Moreno (5'), Gomez (14'), Parejo (19'), Nino (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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