La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
4 - 2
Espanyol

Capoue (53', 90+2'), Parejo (63'), Jackson (80')
Jackson (16'), Pino (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Puado (45'), Joselu (73')
Calero (40'), Puado (58'), Montes (62'), Gil (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 0-0 Cadiz
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Espanyol

Villarreal's defeats to bottom-half teams in their last two matches will provide some optimism for an Espanyol side who are struggling for form themselves and can ill-afford to drop too many more points in their battle to avoid relegation. Nevertheless, the hosts will be regarded as favourites to come out on top on Thursday and they should have enough quality in their side to record a routine win at the Estadi de la Ceramica. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Espanyol
62.84% ( 0.53)	21.05% ( -0.22)	16.11% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

0.36)

45.48% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18% (

0.34)

67.81% (

-0.34)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.14% (

0.28)

13.86% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.75% (

0.55)

41.24% (

-0.55)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

-0.19)

41.25% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

-0.17)

77.78% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 62.83%

Espanyol 16.11%

Draw 21.04%

Villarreal	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 62.83%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.04%	0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.11%