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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Lino (72')
Gonzalez (27'), Lino (27'), Correia (39'), Cavani (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jackson (62')
Jackson (41'), Parejo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, April 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

 Fighting for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Valencia will be desperate to pick up a positive result on Wednesday, but in-form Villarreal will not make life easy for the hosts. Having won seven of their last 10 league outings – including three of their previous four away games – Villarreal look set to pile more pressure on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
35.28% (-0.132 -0.13) 25.81% (0.792 0.79) 38.89% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-2.785 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (-3.581 -3.58)49.45% (3.572 3.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (-3.308 -3.31)71.49% (3.298 3.3)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-1.768 -1.77)27.01% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (-2.369 -2.37)62.36% (2.36 2.36)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-1.958 -1.96)24.97% (1.949 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-2.79 -2.79)59.62% (2.781 2.78)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.28%
    Villarreal 38.89%
    Draw 25.8%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.828 0.83)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.298 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.49 0.49)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.931 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.212 -0.21)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.222 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.89%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
24.6%
Draw
17.5%
Villarreal
57.9%
114
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Musah (35')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 26
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Alcacer (6' pen.), Parejo (69')
Iborra (12'), Pedraza (52'), Kubo (72')
Kubo (90+2')
Guedes (37')
Paulista (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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