La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Lino (72')
Gonzalez (27'), Lino (27'), Correia (39'), Cavani (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jackson (62')
Jackson (41'), Parejo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, April 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Fighting for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Valencia will be desperate to pick up a positive result on Wednesday, but in-form Villarreal will not make life easy for the hosts. Having won seven of their last 10 league outings – including three of their previous four away games – Villarreal look set to pile more pressure on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Villarreal
35.28% ( -0.13)	25.81% ( 0.79)	38.89% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 54.76% (

-2.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54% (

-3.58)

49.45% (

3.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5% (

-3.31)

71.49% (

3.3)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

-1.77)

27.01% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

-2.37)

62.36% (

2.36)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

-1.96)

24.97% (

1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

-2.79)

59.62% (

2.78)

Score Analysis

Valencia 35.28%

Villarreal 38.89%

Draw 25.8%

Valencia	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.28%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.49) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.82) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.89%