Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
35.28% ( -0.13) | 25.81% ( 0.79) | 38.89% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -2.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% ( -3.58) | 49.45% ( 3.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.5% ( -3.31) | 71.49% ( 3.3) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% ( -1.77) | 27.01% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( -2.37) | 62.36% ( 2.36) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( -1.96) | 24.97% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( -2.79) | 59.62% ( 2.78) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.49) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.82) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |