La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Almeria2 - 3Celta Vigo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Almeria
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 2-2 Celta Vigo
Both of these two sides would have earmarked this match as the ideal chance to put three points on the board, but we are finding it difficult to separate them. We are expecting some goals on Friday, with the points ultimately being shared at Power Horse Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Celta Vigo |
34.77% ( 0.4) | 26.88% ( 0.2) | 38.35% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
