Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
48.92% ( -1.26) | 26.95% ( 0.5) | 24.14% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.38% ( -1.19) | 58.62% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% ( -0.94) | 79.18% ( 0.94) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( -1.09) | 24.08% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% ( -1.57) | 58.36% ( 1.57) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.87% ( 0.04) | 40.13% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.23% ( 0.04) | 76.77% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |