Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
55.22% ( 0.31) | 25.42% ( -0.1) | 19.36% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 43.84% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.29% ( 0.09) | 57.71% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% ( 0.07) | 78.46% ( -0.07) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( 0.16) | 20.95% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( 0.26) | 53.69% ( -0.26) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.46% ( -0.2) | 44.54% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.43% ( -0.16) | 80.56% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |